TO BE UNCERTAIN OR IN ERROR?
THAT IS THE QUESTION
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A word from
Dr. Westgard
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July 1999
James O. Westgard, PhD, FACB
Efforts to provide worldwide standards have been led by the
International Organization of Standards, or ISO as it is commonly
known. The ISO standards were initially aimed at industry but
are now being adapted to healthcare laboratories. One of the areas
currently under discussion is the standardization of concepts,
definitions, and terminology related to analytical quality management,
as discussed by Dr. Xavier Fuentes-Arderiu
in an essay on "Trueness and Uncertainty" and an
associated "Glossary of ISO Metrological
and Related Terms and Definitions Relevant to Clinical Laboratory
Sciences."
I applaud efforts to standardize and clarify concepts, definitions,
and terminology, but I believe there are serious issues that need
to be resolved before the proposed ISO definitions and terminology
are adopted.
Evolving concepts of analytical quality
Precision and accuracy were
the terms being used to describe the performance of analytical
measurements in the 1960s when healthcare laboratories began to
be automated and to grow into high volume production operations.
In contrast to many industrial applications where replicate test
measurements are made routinely, single test measurements are
the norm in healthcare testing. This distinction is important
because the effects of imprecision can be minimized by performing
multiple measurements, hence industrial applications could easily
control the amount of random analytical error by increasing the
number of replicate measurements. Therefore, the most important
measure of industrial quality was the inaccuracy or systematic
error.
Total analytic error was recommended
in the mid 70s [1] as a better way to evaluate the performance
of clinical measurements where only a single measurement is generally
made in determining a test result. All individual test results
may be in error due to both the imprecision and inaccuracy of
the method, therefore the combination of the two errors, or the
total analytical error, determines the quality of the test result.
In developing this new concept, the emphasis was on "errors",
their random and systematic components, and the net or total effect
of those components. It took over a decade for this concept to
become established in healthcare laboratories. Its relevance is
especially clear in the US today because the CLIA laboratory regulations
specify criteria for acceptable performance in the form of allowable
total errors that are used in grading analytical performance in
proficiency testing surveys [2].
Operating specifications were
developed in the early 90s as an outgrowth of total quality management
and the interest in making quality control a quantitative technique
for managing routine production [3]. The operating specifications
for a method define the imprecision and inaccuracy that are allowable
and the QC that is necessary (control rules, number of control
measurements) to assure that a stated quality requirement will
be achieved in routine production. The important point here is
that operating specifications consider both the stable performance
of the method (imprecision and inaccuracy) and the capability
of the QC procedure to detect changes (unstable performance).
ISO concepts of trueness and uncertainty
Trueness is used by ISO to describe
the "closeness of agreement between the mean obtained from
a large series of results of measurement and a true value."
The emphasis on the "mean obtained from a large series of
results of measurement" limits this concept to the systematic
error or inaccuracy (bias) of a method.
Uncertainty is used by ISO
to describe a "parameter, associated with the result of a
measurement that characterizes the dispersion of the values that
could reasonably be attributed to the measurand." This term
could be quantitatively described by calculating a standard deviation
or some multiple (confidence interval).
In short, the new ISO terminology recommends trueness instead
of accuracy, inaccuracy, and systematic error and uncertainty
instead of random error, imprecision, and precision. Total error
wouldn't exist! Furthermore, estimates of uncertainty would combine
different sources and estimates of random error through propagation
of errors calculations. These calculations would require a competent
statistician, a clinical chemist with some mathematical or statistical
aptitude, or special computer programs that could be used by laboratory
analysts.
The objective is to describe the uncertainty of a measurement
or test result. For example, a test result of 100 means
a value in the range from say 96 to 104. The test result is good
to within 4 units. Of course, that also means it may be off by
up to 4 units, but the result isn't in error - just uncertain!
Difficulties in implementing the
ISO recommendation
Any change is difficult - even
one that is entirely beneficial. A change becomes impossible when
the difficulties outweigh the benefits. One way to illustrate
the benefits versus difficulties is to use a "force field
diagram" to describe the forces that are driving the change
vs those that are restraining the change. The accompanying diagram
identifies the driving forces as being the benefit (in principle)
of uniform concepts and terminology for communication in an international
marketplace, benefit of uniformity with other industries, the
ISO momentum in the European marketplace, and the benefit from
a pure theory of measurements. The restraining forces represent
the following difficulties:
- Need for statistical skills. Few
healthcare practitioners, whether laboratorians, nurses, or physicians,
are skilled in statistics. Their training is quite different
from the strong mathematical orientation of the engineers who
are in key positions in other industries. Healthcare personnel
often find statistics to be confusing. They certainly don't have
a quantitative understanding of uncertainty, however, they do
have a quantitative understanding of errors. They know that errors
are bad, should be eliminated when possible, and always kept
small relative to the medical use and interpretation of test
results. The concept of error has real meaning whereas the concept
of uncertainty has only statistical meaning.
- Trend towards lower skilled personnel.
The application of more complicated concepts usually requires
more sophisticated practitioners. Today, the education, training,
and skills of professionals in healthcare laboratories are actually
decreasing, as part of the efforts to reduce the costs of healthcare.
There will likely be fewer PhD clinical chemists available to
deal with the complicated calculations that are necessary to
properly estimate the uncertainty of test results. The availability
of computer programs may facilitate the calculations, but may
not improve the understanding and interpretation of the calculated
results.
- No practical benefits over the error
concept and terminology. There are no practical benefits
to practitioners to change from the understandable concepts and
terminology of errors to more difficult statistical concepts
and terminology. The error concepts do not in any way limit current
practices in quality management. The real problem is that laboratories
need to define the quality required for the tests they provide.
- Quality requirements already defined
as allowable errors. Given that quality requirements must
be defined if analytical quality management is to be improved,
it is important to recognize that most recommendations for analytical
quality are given in the form of allowable errors - allowable
SD, allowable bias, allowable total error. What amount of uncertainty
is allowable? How do you develop recommendations for the allowable
uncertainty?
- Changes will take a long time. In
the late 1970s, IFCC recommended that the terms imprecision and
inaccuracy replace precision and accuracy to properly emphasize
that the deviations (or errors) from the true or correct values.
Several years went by before the new terms of imprecision and
inaccuracy were being used in the scientific literature. Likewise,
the concept of total error took about ten years from introduction
to general acceptance by the laboratory community. Operating
specifications, which were first introduced in 1990, are not
yet universally accepted. It can be expected that the new ISO
concepts of trueness and uncertainty will take a decade or more
to become established and useful.
And the answer is "roles for both"
The practical management of analytical quality in a service
laboratory is best served by concepts and terminology that relate
to analytical errors, rather than by the newly recommended concepts
of trueness and uncertainty. Current quality requirements and
quality management tools are based on error concepts and theory.
The role for the new concepts is in the applications of reference
methods, not field methods. Reference methods are used to establish
true values or to assign values to calibration materials. In such
applications, it is important to make replicate measurements and
minimize random errors, to correct for known systematic errors,
and then to be able to express the uncertainty in the measured
or assigned values.
References:
- Westgard JO, Carey RN, Wold S. Criteria for judging precision
and accuracy in method development and evaluation. Clin Chem
1974;20:825-33.
- Westgard JO, Wiebe DA. Cholesterol operational process specifications
for assuring the quality required by CLIA proficiency testing.
Clin Chem 1991;37:1938-44.
- Westgard JO. Charts of operational process specifications
("OPSpecs charts") for assessing the precision, accuracy,
and quality control needed to satisfy proficiency testing criteria.
Clin Chem 1992;38:1226-33.
Other Essays:
- Myths of Quality
- Putting Quality into Quality Control
- Assuring Quality through Total Quality Management
- Trends in quality management: Utilization and Outcomes
- Quality Goals, Requirements, & Specifications
- Future Directions in Quality Control
- The Myth of Medical Decision Limits
- Quality by Design
- Tools and Technology for QC Training
- Education and Training for Analytical Quality Management, Part I
- Mapping the Road to Analytical Quality with OPSpecs Charts
- Quality and Commerce
- QC - Back to Basics
- Education and Training for Analytical Quality Management, Part II: Developing Web-courses
- Method Validation - The Inner, Hidden, Deeper, Secret Meaning
- Education and Training in Analytical Quality Management, Part III: Basic QC Training
- Electronic QC and the Total Testing Process
- From Rules and Tools to Technology and Training (Beijing)
- Quality Requirements: the debate heats up
- Z-Stats: A treat and a treatment
- The Need for a System of Quality Standards
- What's wrong with traditional QC?
- To be Uncertain or In Error? That is the Question
- QC 2000
- Education and Training for Analytical Quality Management, Part IV: Interactive Training Tools
- Do's and Dont's of QC
- The Abbott Consent Decree: A Wake-Up Call
- WQC Y2K
- Sage Advice about new approaches to Quality Control
- EZ Rules for Assuring Quality
- Who will care to quality tomorrow?
- Quality is Job 1 when the rubber meets the road
- Errors in reasoning about Laboratory errors
- Six Sigma Quality Management & Lab Precision
- Six Sigma Quality Managment & Requisite Lab QC
- 2001: Year of the Odyssey essays
- CLIA Postponed again and again and again
- Repeated, Repeated, Got Lucky
- Six Sigma Staffing Strategies
- Technology for Implementing QC Right
- $aving the Cost$ of Poor Quality
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- Has Quality been "Enronned"?
- Why not Evidence-Based Method Specifications?
- Quality: "I think I got it!"
- Cooking the Books: Does it happen in the Lab?
- CLIA QC Clearance - A momentous happening
- Signs of Six Sigma
- Good Data Wanted, Bad Data Need Not Apply
- Final, final, final, final, final CLIA Rules
- The Truth Standard for Quality
- It's an Honor: Reflections on being a Teacher
- 2004 JCAHO Patient Safety Goals
- ISO Says So
- Medical Errors: Complexity and Its Solutions
- Giving Thanks for 2003: Observations on the state of Quality
- Autoverification: Taking QC to the next level - is that up or down?
- Think straight, Talk straight
- The Gospel According to ISO
- More on Eqc and "Quality-Less" Compliance
- Testing Equivalent Quality: A better way
- The Final Word on the Final Rule?
- Hear, Hear, Hearings on Untruth and Unquality, Part I
- Hearings on Untruth, Part II: Cracks
- Hearings on Untruth, Part III: Facts
- Hearings on Untruth, Part III: Broken Windows
- Connecting the Dots
- Hearings on Untruth, Part IV: Inadequate Inspections
- Hearings on Untruth, Part V: Bad Apples or Tip of the Iceberg?
- The Quality of Laboratory Testing, Part I
- No Laboratory Left Behind
- Vioxx and Values, Vaccines and Votes
- The Quality of Laboratory Testing: Methodology
- The Quality of Cholesterol Testing
- Bah, Humbug! How I learned to love EQC
- The Quality of Glucose Testing
- The Quality of Calcium Testing
- Blowing the Whistle on the Tip of the Iceberg
- The Quality of Glycohemoglobin
- The Quality of PSA Testing
- Solutions for the Taxing Problem of QC
- The quality of Coagulation Testing
- The variability of estimates from PT surveys
- Links to India, Part I
- Test Quality vs. Method Performance
- QC: Not just a technicality
- 2005 in Review: 100,000 miles to Quality
- Unannounced Inspections, Unknown Consequences
- Hopeful Healthcare in a Fearful Society
- Quality Indicators and Benchmarks
- Trouble with Tracking Tests
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Copyright © 2000. All rights reserved.
Westgard QC, 7614 Gray Fox Trail, Madison WI 53717
Call 608-833-47183 or e-mail us at westgard@westgard.com
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